I think it'd be better for science and the world in general if people
would use the word skeptic instead of denier. With all this current
discussion of tribalism in American politics, perhaps the lens could be
turned on the language we use to describe scientific communities.
I could also point out that proponents of the anthropogenic climate
change doomsday scenarios remind me quite a lot of Camping's May 21st
Rapture
crew. The truth is, "the end is near" has been an odd human fixation for
just about as long as anybody can tell. This merits skepticism.
Regarding the conclusions of the so-called "Supreme Court of
Science,"
as at least one person has described the National Academy---or the IPCC
and other organizations---I think it's important to remember that these
too are groups of people with enormous stakes in pushing the consensus
toward an anthropogenic global warming dialog. However, this is not
necessarily for the sake of the world; I don't think anybody actually
believes any of their worst-case scenarios will actually come to pass.
Rather, they have invested their entire careers and livelihoods on these
claims. If they turn out to be false, then these particular scientists
and politicians would be disgraced. While politicians are apt to pivot
gracefully out and shift the dialog to their benefit, scientists tend
not to take so well if their ideas are discredited.
It seems that climate science---as distinct from meteorology---had never
been a particularly interesting field until these sorts of worldwide
catastrophe scenarios began to gain traction (correct me if I'm wrong
here). Our tools to observe these large-scale changes are relatively
new, of course; the problem is, since we've only had the ability to peek
into the atmosphere or the ozone for a few decades, the discipline
doesn't have centuries of quack claims or false alarms at hand to give
the field an even temperament.
Finally, "science" is not at all monolithic---and I don't mean simply
that there continue to be folks of different opinions. There are many
different ways to gain so-called "scientific" knowledge, and they all
generally fall under the umbrella term of empirical methodologies.
There are hypothesis-driven studies which are able to directly
manipulate experimental conditions, correlative studies which take
advantage of previously existing variations, exploratory studies which
just start measuring and hypothesizing, and there are modeling studies
such as those used in climate science.
Modeling studies by far are the least intrinsically reliable of these,
since they excel at showing potentially plausible explanations but
operate based on many assumptions and proceed in microchips instead of
on a lab bench. There have been innumerable takes on scientific
philosophy as well. Perhaps you're familiar
with Popper's case for the
necessity of falsifiability in a scientific claim. Although this is
only one approach to scientific reasoning, it has certainly been
particularly fruitful for modern-day consensus building. One major
problem of these climate models is that they get revised again and again
and again based on new incoming information---parameters are revised,
but the models as a whole are never thrown out.
It's an interesting question, and I think that good healthy skepticism
is exactly what people need in order to truly advance scientific
knowledge. Not name-calling.